Monthly Archives: May 2014

Spoiler alert: 2014 FIFA World Cup winners predicted by bookmaker consensus rating

A new Econ paper predicts the FIFA 2014 World Cup winners. The technique used correctly predicted the EURO 2008 final, with better results than other rating/forecast methods, and correctly predicted Spain as the 2010 FIFA World Champion and EURO 2012 … Continue reading

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How to load data from excel into R

Like many other researchers I use excel for organizing the data, and R for analysis. Here’s a short, but useful code snippet:

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The worst place to be stung by a bee

This study rated the painfulness of honey bee stings over 25 body locations in one subject. Pain was rated on a 1–10 scale, relative to an internal standard, the forearm (see Schmidt Sting Pain Index). The author, Michael Smith from … Continue reading

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Pulling Conclusions Out of a Black Bowler Hat

“Overall, these empirical patterns suggests that we need to be less cavalier in addressing questions of human nature on the basis of data drawn from this particularly thin, and rather unusual, slice of humanity”.  Joe Henrich and his colleagues are … Continue reading

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